Forecast verification : (Record no. 18398)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 05907cam a2200721Mi 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field ocn775302462
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field OCoLC
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20230823095420.0
006 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--ADDITIONAL MATERIAL CHARACTERISTICS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field m o d
007 - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION FIXED FIELD--GENERAL INFORMATION
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008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 120206s2012 nju o 000 0 eng d
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency EBLCP
Language of cataloging eng
Description conventions pn
Transcribing agency EBLCP
Modifying agency OCLCQ
-- DG1
-- N$T
-- YDXCP
-- VPI
-- COO
-- OCLCQ
-- OCLCF
-- OCLCQ
-- CDX
-- DEBSZ
-- OCLCQ
-- DG1
019 ## -
-- 794706707
-- 961251807
-- 966505433
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
ISBN 9781119960003
Qualifying information (electronic bk.)
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
ISBN 1119960002
Qualifying information (electronic bk.)
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
ISBN 9781119960010
Qualifying information (electronic bk.)
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
ISBN 1119960010
Qualifying information (electronic bk.)
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
Cancelled/invalid ISBN 9780470660713
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
Cancelled/invalid ISBN 0470660716
024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code 9786613621078
029 1# - (OCLC)
OCLC library identifier AU@
System control number 000049904269
029 1# - (OCLC)
OCLC library identifier DEBBG
System control number BV041829357
029 1# - (OCLC)
OCLC library identifier DEBSZ
System control number 431091870
029 1# - (OCLC)
OCLC library identifier DEBSZ
System control number 449283372
029 1# - (OCLC)
OCLC library identifier NZ1
System control number 15921929
035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number (OCoLC)775302462
Canceled/invalid control number (OCoLC)794706707
-- (OCoLC)961251807
-- (OCoLC)966505433
037 ## - SOURCE OF ACQUISITION
Stock number 362107
Source of stock number/acquisition MIL
050 #4 - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CALL NUMBER
Classification number QC996.5
Item number .F67 2011
072 #7 - SUBJECT CATEGORY CODE
Subject category code NAT
Subject category code subdivision 036000
Source bisacsh
072 #7 - SUBJECT CATEGORY CODE
Subject category code SCI
Subject category code subdivision 042000
Source bisacsh
082 04 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER
Classification number 551.63
049 ## - LOCAL HOLDINGS (OCLC)
Holding library MAIN
245 00 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Forecast verification :
Remainder of title a practitioner's guide in atmospheric science /
Statement of responsibility, etc edited by Ian T. Jolliffe, David B. Stephenson.
250 ## - EDITION STATEMENT
Edition statement 2nd ed.
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc Hoboken :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc John Wiley & Sons,
Date of publication, distribution, etc 2012.
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 1 online resource (304 pages)
336 ## -
-- text
-- txt
-- rdacontent
337 ## -
-- computer
-- c
-- rdamedia
338 ## -
-- online resource
-- cr
-- rdacarrier
505 0# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Formatted contents note Forecast Verification; Contents; List of Contributors; Preface; Preface to the First Edition; 1 Introduction; 1.1 A brief history and current practice; 1.1.1 History; 1.1.2 Current practice; 1.2 Reasons for forecast verification and its benefits; 1.3 Types of forecast and verification data; 1.4 Scores, skill and value; 1.4.1 Skill scores; 1.4.2 Artificial skill; 1.4.3 Statistical significance; 1.4.4 Value added; 1.5 Data quality and other practical considerations; 1.6 Summary; 2 Basic concepts; 2.1 Introduction; 2.2 Types of predictand; 2.3 Exploratory methods.
505 8# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Formatted contents note 2.4 Numerical descriptive measures2.5 Probability, random variables and expectations; 2.6 Joint, marginal and conditional distributions; 2.7 Accuracy, association and skill; 2.8 Properties of verification measures; 2.9 Verification as a regression problem; 2.10 The Murphy-Winkler framework; 2.11 Dimensionality of the verification problem; 3 Deterministic forecasts of binary events; 3.1 Introduction; 3.2 Theoretical considerations; 3.2.1 Some basic descriptive statistics; 3.2.2 A general framework for verification: the distributions-oriented approach.
505 8# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Formatted contents note 3.2.3 Performance measures in terms of factorizations of the joint distribution3.2.4 Diagrams for visualizing performance measures; 3.2.5 Case study: verification of cloud-fraction forecasts; 3.3 Signal detection theory and the ROC; 3.3.1 The signal detection model; 3.3.2 The relative operating characteristic (ROC); 3.4 Metaverification: criteria for assessing performance measures; 3.4.1 Desirable properties; 3.4.2 Other properties; 3.5 Performance measures; 3.5.1 Overview of performance measures; 3.5.2 Sampling uncertainty and confidence intervals for performance measures.
505 8# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Formatted contents note 3.5.3 Optimal threshold probabilitiesAcknowledgements; 4 Deterministic forecasts of multi-category events; 4.1 Introduction; 4.2 The contingency table: notation, definitions, and measures of accuracy; 4.2.1 Notation and definitions; 4.2.2 Measures of accuracy; 4.3 Skill scores; 4.3.1 Desirable attributes; 4.3.2 Gandin and Murphy equitable scores; 4.3.3 Gerrity equitable scores; 4.3.4 LEPSCAT; 4.3.5 SEEPS; 4.3.6 Summary remarks on scores; 4.4 Sampling variability of the contingency table and skill scores; 5 Deterministic forecasts of continuous variables; 5.1 Introduction.
505 8# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Formatted contents note 5.2 Forecast examples5.3 First-order moments; 5.3.1 Bias; 5.3.2 Mean Absolute Error; 5.3.3 Bias correction and artificial skill; 5.3.4 Mean absolute error and skill; 5.4 Second- and higher-order moments; 5.4.1 Mean Squared Error; 5.4.2 MSE skill score; 5.4.3 MSE of scaled forecasts; 5.4.4 Correlation; 5.4.5 An example: testing the 'limit of predictability'; 5.4.6 Rank correlations; 5.4.7 Comparison of moments of the marginal distributions; 5.4.8 Graphical summaries; 5.5 Scores based on cumulative frequency; 5.5.1 Linear Error in Probability Space (LEPS); 5.5.2 Quantile-quantile plots.
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note 5.5.3 Conditional quantile plots.
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc Forecast Verification: A Practioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, 2nd Edition provides an indispensible guide to this area of active research by combining depth of information with a range of topics to appeal both to professional practitioners and researchers and postgraduates. The editors have succeeded in presenting chapters by a variety of the leading experts in the field while still retaining a cohesive and highly accessible style. The book balances explanations of concepts with clear and useful discussion of the main application areas.
588 0# -
-- Print version record.
526 ## - STUDY PROGRAM INFORMATION NOTE
Department Physical Science
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Weather forecasting
General subdivision Statistical methods.
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Weather forecasting
General subdivision Statistical methods
-- Evaluation.
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Geology.
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Science.
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Physics.
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element NATURE
General subdivision Weather.
Source of heading or term bisacsh
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element SCIENCE
General subdivision Earth Sciences
-- Meteorology & Climatology.
Source of heading or term bisacsh
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Weather forecasting
General subdivision Statistical methods.
Source of heading or term fast
-- (OCoLC)fst01173164
655 #4 - INDEX TERM--GENRE/FORM
Genre/form data or focus term Electronic books.
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Jolliffe, I. T.
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Stephenson, David B.
776 08 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY
Display text Print version:
Main entry heading Jolliffe, Ian T.
Title Forecast Verification : A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science.
Place, publisher, and date of publication Hoboken : John Wiley & Sons, ©2012
International Standard Book Number 9780470660713
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/9781119960003">http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/9781119960003</a>
Public note Wiley Online Library
994 ## -
-- 92
-- DG1

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