000			02883cam a2200541Ma 4500
001			ocn865012953
003			OCoLC
005			20220701010958.0
006			m o d
007			cr cnu---unuuu
008			090713s2013 nju o 000 u eng d
040			_aRECBK _beng _epn _cRECBK _dOCLCO _dOCLCQ _dOCLCO _dDG1 _dOCLCQ _dIDEBK _dOHI _dOCLCF _dOCLCQ _dDEBBG _dOCLCQ _dDG1 _dLIP _dOCLCQ
019			_a865654825
020			_a9781118650233 _q(electronic bk.)
020			_a1118650239 _q(electronic bk.)
020			_a9781118650158 _q(electronic bk.)
020			_a1118650158 _q(electronic bk.)
020			_a1306208378 _q(ebk)
020			_a9781306208376 _q(ebk)
028	0	1	_aEB00067065 _bRecorded Books
029	1		_aCHBIS _b010259545
029	1		_aCHVBK _b325943796
029	1		_aDEBBG _bBV043396398
029	1		_aCHVBK _b480228973
029	1		_aCHNEW _b000942605
029	1		_aDEBSZ _b485044110
035			_a(OCoLC)865012953 _z(OCoLC)865654825
037			_a552088 _bMIL
050		4	_aQA273
082	0	4	_a519.2 _222
049			_aMAIN
100	1		_aLindley, D. V. _q(Dennis Victor), _d1923-2013.
245	1	0	_aUnderstanding uncertainty / _cDennis V. Lindley.
260			_aHoboken, N.J. : _bWiley, _c2013.
300			_a1 online resource
336			_atext _btxt _2rdacontent
337			_acomputer _bc _2rdamedia
338			_aonline resource _bcr _2rdacarrier
520			_a"We want you to face up to uncertainty, not hide it away under false concepts, but to understand it and, moreover, to use the recent discoveries so that you can act in the face of uncertainty more sensibly than would have been possible without the skill."--Dennis Lindley Accessibly written at an elementary level, this outstanding text examines uncertainty in various everyday situations and introduces readers to three rules that prove uncertainty can be handled with as much confidence as ordinary logic. Combining a concept of utility with probability, the book insightfully demonstrates how uncertainty can be measured and used in everyday life, especially in decision-making and science. Completely reformatted and visually easy to read, this revised edition includes new material on the computational influence and breakthroughs of hierarchical Bayesian methods and inference; betting (Efron's dice); and the current recession; as well as additional illustrations, updated references, and simplified writing for clarity, ease of continuity and research.
500			_aTitle from resource description page (Recorded Books, viewed November 21, 2013).
650		0	_aMathematics.
650		7	_aMATHEMATICS _xProbability & Statistics _xGeneral. _2bisacsh
650		7	_aMathematics. _2fast _0(OCoLC)fst01012163
655		4	_aElectronic books.
776	0	8	_iPrint version: _z9781306208376
856	4	0	_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1002/9781118650158 _zWiley Online Library
994			_aC0 _bDG1
999			_c21862 _d21821